Thursday, 1 March 2012

Forex Currency Trading - Beginner Tips

After interviewing successful Traders I realized there were many ideas that they had in common. I was told numerous times that to be successful and stay successful a Trader had to adhere to several rules. Two of them are:
Forex Currency Trading Beginner Rule 1:
"Always Trade with a Stop Loss"
Before you place a Trade it is important to realize that even with a winning system you WILL have LOSING Trades. The idea is to gain Maximum Profit and Minimize your Loss. The decision on when to close the Trade must be made before you place your Trade, it can then be made without emotion and it will be easier to stick with your Plan (This is a must).
When you place an order you can manually select when the trade is going to end. To do this you state how far you will let the trade run at a loss before the trade ends. This is called a "Stop Loss Order". Basically this means if the trade goes against you, you can control your loss. This is a common way to safe guard against heavy losses.
There is always a down side to using stop loss orders. It is too easy to focus on reducing your possible losses so if there is a small change in the direction of your trade you will be cut out with a small loss and you will also be charged the spread, often the trade changes back to the direction you had anticipated which then runs on and would have given a nice profit.
If you are trading in short time frames and finding yourself being stopped out after small losses you will be surprised at how quickly the broker's cost (spread) can mount up over a month. Therefore it is extremely important to either use a system that will guide you where to place your stop loss or to understand exactly where to place your "Stop Loss" and the consequences of it. Sometimes allowing for a slightly larger loss before being stopped out will give you more successful results.
Every trader has to have an individual strategy and rules they are prepared to stay with. Today there are software programs you can buy that will assist you with these decisions.
Forex Currency Trading Beginner Rule 2:
"Risk Reward Ratio"
Understanding your risk/reward ratio is very important (the risk compared to how much reward (profit) you will make).An example of a trade with a 4:1 risk reward is if you have a stop in place so the maximum you could lose (risk) is $1000 and your limit order allows for a profit (reward) of $4000.
Always consider the risk reward factor before placing a trade.
Most good traders would look at a 2:1 ratio, your profit being twice your potential loss. When working out your trading always remember to deduct the spread from your anticipated profit.
Working out your risk reward ratio is a simple formula. I will give you an example.
Currency Pair EUR/USD.
Buying # 1 lot
Entry price 1.3330
Stop 1.3310
Target 1.3372
Loss 20 pips
Profit 40 pips (net after spread of 2)
Ratio 2:1
If the system you are using indicates where the entry and exit points are and a ratio of 2.1 is not realistic it is better not to take the trade and wait for the next opportunity.
I hope you found this information helpful and I wish you good luck with your trading.
Lyndsay is a successful entrepreneur, author and forex trader. Discover how you can get the best proven forex system and start trading successfully today. For the #1 forex system available check out http://www.best-fx-trading.com/

How To Win Short Term In Forex Trading

Short term Forex trading can get pretty scary sometimes and good traders are always looking for a way to reduce the risk and increase the profits.
Do you have a short term forex trading style? If so, you need to be aware every day of the data releases, prominent speakers, and other potential big market moving events in the day ahead. Do not forget that the economic data calendar for the forex market is all encompassing. On any given day it's possible for items coming from several different countries to have an impact on price action. Consider the following example, this is an indicator that moves the market.
CCI - Consumer Confidence Index
The Conference Board; Last Tuesday of each month, 10:00am EST, covers current month's data. The CCI is a survey based on a sample of 5,000 U.S. households and is considered one of the most accurate indicators of confidence. The idea behind consumer confidence is that when the economy warrants more jobs, increased wages, and lower interest rates, it increases our confidence and spending power. The respondents answer questions about their income, the market condition as they see it, and the chances to see increase in their income. Confidence is looked at closely by the Federal Reserve when determining interest rates. It is considered to be a big market mover as private consumption is two thirds of the American economy. If you are looking for an effective forex currency trading system, then using this report can make it even better.
Obviously, long-term traders don't have to be keenly aware of the upcoming data and influential speakers. However, they should, be alert to the happenings in markets which influence forex. Those include interest rates, commodities, and perhaps stocks at times.
If you really want to improve your trading then be sure to click on the link below, you will be glad you did. Good luck trading.
Make a Killing Trading Forex! Forex Killer is the place to visit.
See what a Forex Trading Robot can do for you! Forex Robot is a must.

Forex Trading Education - Understanding the Lingo Part 1

When learning anything new there are usually a few words or terms you don't understand so I'll do my best to clear those up. When I first heard the word "pip" I thought it was just something English people said; I don't really know why. Try saying it with an English accent aloud right now, the more people in the room the better. Now say it twice and add a "jolly hoe" to the end (in the English accent of course). Hah, now that's good stuff.
I'll start with the obvious terms, those being "major and minor currencies". As you may have guessed major currencies are the 8 most-traded currencies (USD, JPY, CAD, EUR, GBP, CHF, NZD and AUD); incase you aren't sure that's US dollars, Japanese yen, Canadian dollars, Euro, British pound, Swiss Franc, New Zealand dollars and Australian dollars. Minor currencies are all the other currencies (who'da thunk it?).
Base currency would be the first currency in any pair; it shows how much the base is worth against the secondary currency. Like if the USD/JPY rate equals 108.0263 then one USD is worth 108.0263 JPY. Typically in Forex markets the USD is the base currency for quotes; exceptions to this are the GBP, EUR, AUD and NZD.
Next we have quote currency; this is the secondary currency in any pair, it's often called the "pip currency" as well.
What is a pip? A pip (stop saying it in an English accent!) is the smallest unit price for any currency. Almost all currency pairs have five significant digits and a lot of them have the decimal point after the first digit (as you can see above, JPY is a big exception). Like if EUR/USD equals 1.5448 (which it currently does) a single pip equals the smallest change in the fourth decimal place (that being 0.0001). That means if the quote currency (or secondary currency in one pair) is USD, one pip will always equal 1/100 of a cent. Pretty simple right?
For reviews of the top three Forex trading systems, including the formerly-private-now-public Forex Funnel, click here: http://forex-funnel.the-perfect-solution.com/

Forex Trading Style - Trendlines Versus Horizontal Lines

In developing a personal Forex trading style it is likely a trader will experiment with numerous technical indicators over time but eventually end up with just a handful of favorites which are used on a daily basis.
The use of trendlines is taught in just about every training course out there and popular opinion seems to suggest they should take a reasonably prominent place in any successful Forex trading style.
This article begs to differ. Yes, trendlines can be useful but in my opinion they are superseded by horizontal lines.
What is the difference?
Trendlines are simply lines drawn across the lows of bars or candles in an uptrend, or lines drawn across the highs of bars or candles in a downtrend.
One Forex trading style may use the Tom DeMark method of drawing trendlines which gets very specific by joining the most recent low with the previous lower low (looking left on the chart) and then extending the line forward (looking right on the chart) for an uptrend.
For a downtrend join the most recent high with the previous higher high (looking left on the chart) and then extending the line forward (looking right on the chart). These trendlines then give indications of a breakout once they are broken.
Horizontal lines are simply lines drawn across highs and lows on a chart marking support and resistance.
Why are horizontal lines superior?
The ideal Forex trading style is simple and easy to use and it helps if the charts we are studying are clear and reasonably uncluttered.
Drawing numerous trendlines can obscure what is really happening with price action. True, some traders just draw trendlines across main highs and lows and ignore the mini swings. Nevertheless, trendlines have to be constantly re-drawn and updated as price action continues.
On the other hand, just putting in a horizontal line on key levels of support and resistance is simple and easy to see. They have great significance on the higher time frames, especially the 4 hour or the daily charts.
Of particular value is marking the previous day's high and low and watching price action around those levels. It is possible to catch 10 to 20 pips often as price tests the previous day's high or low and pulls back. Of course, the probability of a successful trade becomes higher if the previous day's high or low also coincides with other factors such as a Fibonacci level or pivot point.
Why are horizontal lines probably more significant than trendlines?
When developing your Forex trading style it is very important to look beyond candles. Trading is much more than that. The successful trader understands what is going on behind the scenes. Candles and price action is simply an outward manifestation of what is happening across the desks of thousands of traders across the globe who deal with billions of dollars worth of flows and orders.
A previous high or low in price action, especially on the higher time frame, means that the bulls or the bears won the battle in that trading session. If a number of traders committed a large amount of equity to a currency at a certain price, then obviously that price point is going to be fiercely defended in the future by those traders.
So horizontal lines drawn across levels of support and resistance mark very real points at which we can expect a reaction from price.
Trendlines on the other hand tend to be more speculative in my opinion. Watch price reaction at horizontal lines of support and resistance as opposed to trendlines and you will notice that price respects key levels of support and resistance more often than trendline levels.
Should trendlines be included in your Forex trading style?
That is an individual matter. They can certainly be helpful in offering confirmation of a trade after taking into consideration other factors. But to trade on trendlines alone can be very risky. On the other hand, it is possible to trade almost entirely on what support and resistance tell you at certain times when key levels are being tested.
Generally though, a successful Forex trading style will combine a number of factors. My favorites in order of importance are:
  1. Support & Resistance levels on the higher time frames
  2. Fibonacci retracement and extension levels
  3. Pivot points
  4. Candle patterns
  5. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
If you are in the process of developing your own Forex trading style you may arrive at a different priority list. Why not experiment with horizontal support and resistance lines and trendlines and decide for yourself which gives the most reliable indication of price movement?
Learn how the MACD indicator can help you avoid much anxiety:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/forex-strategy-MACD-save-anxiety.htm
Do you know the important lesson Mohammed Ali teaches us about Forex trading? Read it here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/forex-online-trading-mohammed-ali.htm
For the best free economic calendars plus a free pivot point calculator and Fibonacci calculator click here:
http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html

Wednesday, 29 February 2012

Currency Forex Market Trading - Guide to Your First Million Dollars

In almost any business endeavor, strategy is an important element that can help in its success or failure. Forex trading is an international, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, over the counter exchange financial market where different nation currencies are being bought and sold. Here, your strategy can quickly make you a rich man or let you lose your money in a single trade.
Currency forex trading is always done in pairs. It is well known to be the largest financial market in the world; therefore, a single investor can't possibly influence the market, which means that your every decision will drive you to either success or failure and you cant blame anyone else. Currency forex trading has two kinds of investing strategies, namely technical analysis and fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis is the method of forecasting future movements of the price securities, commodities, etc it is based on a chart analysis, technical indicators, and pattern formations. Some people claim that currency forex trading are quite predictable, technically speaking.
What you need is proper money management because not all strategies work at a 100% rate. Technical analysis will help you determine when to enter/exit positions and where the price of the different currencies is going. Most technical currency forex traders use technical indicators, this is a very common technique. A few indicators will do, compared to dozens of them. Quality is what matters and not the quantity. These technical indicators will help in forecasting currency market prices.
Here is a list of the common technical indicators:
1. Average directional index or ADX determines the strength of prevailing trends.
2. Exponential moving average or EMA; weight is given to latest data, moving average similar to simple moving average.
3. Moving average convergence divergence or MACD; momentum indicator showing relationships between two average prices on the move.
4. Fibonacci; this can include Fibonacci time zones, Fibonacci channel, Fibonacci fan, Fibonacci arc and many more.
5. Bollinger band; a band is plotted in two standard deviations away from simple moving average.
6. Relative strength index or RSI; compares the magnitude of recent gains against recent losses to determine the overbought/oversold asset conditions.
7. Stochastic oscillator; compares closing price of security to price range over a specific period of time.
8. Williams %R; measures overbought and oversold levels, somewhat similar to stochastic oscillator.
Technical analysis systems make use of a combination of a few technical indicators to arrive at a realizable market forecast. Fundamental analysis strategy studies economic factors of a certain country to forecast its future currency value. It focuses on studies regarding economic, political and social factors that affect supply and demand.
Here is a list of fundamental analysis indicators:
1. Consumer price index or CPI; measures price changes in consumer services and goods; this is referred to as headline inflation.
2. Gross domestic product or GDP; usually calculated on annual basis, this is the monetary value of a country's finished goods/services that is produced within its boundaries.
3. The financial news is also necessary when making use of fundamental analysis. You should pay attention more especially if you're active on the trade. There different websites that offers up to date financial news, check out the different sites because it can help you a lot in arriving at a good fundamental analysis.
4. Whatever analysis you choose to use is up to you. Remember that these strategies will only aid you in making sound trading decisions. Perhaps a combination of the two strategies will do you better
5. If you're an individual trader, you can check on available Internet sites that have further discussions regarding these two strategies. Further research is good for you to get a good grip about the subject matter.
Applying these Currency Forex Market Trading strategies together with good money management might be your doorway to currency forex trading success.
The author runs a Forex Traders website where traders can gather tips and resources about forex trading at http://www.fxtradershub.com

Finding the Best Forex Robot to Fatten Your Bank Account

All right - you have made the decision to try your hand at trading; Forex trading, to be precise, which is also referred to as online currency trading. Perhaps you are new at it, perhaps you have even decided to see if you can make a successful, profitable home based business out of it. If you have seen the potential of online currency trading, then perhaps you are also interested in finding the best Forex robot. This is not actually a robot, of course, it is an automated forex trading system - such as the Forex Autopilot. They are sometimes also known as Expert Advisors and Algorithmic Trading Systems, or EAs and ATSs, respectively. Basically, it is able to do several things, whenever the correct set of technical parameters get triggered. For instance, they are able to open, close, and even use the currency being traded.
The Forex market itself is extremely recommended. One reason is because the Forex market - otherwise known as the Foreign Exchange Market - is open almost all the time. All told, you can trade on it twenty four hours a day, six days a week. Because of that, the automated robot has ample time to evaluate all your chosen markets. Besides that, the market trades very naturally, which Forex robots compliment very well. What really makes the robots ideal, however, are that they do not trade emotionally.
They are only care about the risks you tell them to care about; they are not sitting there worrying about the potential risks of a particular trade as it applies to their lives. All they do is gather data, following the perimeters set by you. So, if you have set it up so you are only interested in trades with a 70 percent chance of profit, then when those hits come up, the robots go for it. They are not concerned with rules. This can be absolutely invaluable, because we as humans are run by emotion even when we want to be ruled by logic or instinct.
One of the reasons that the Autopilot system is going to be the best Forex robot you find is because it can trade for as long as the market is open. Whereas you have to stop to eat, drink, stretch, and sleep, not to mention spend time with family and friends, and take care of life's every day necessities, it can run as long as your computer does. Whereas you can, on average, only work an eight hour day, it can work three times as long - which could mean three times the profit!
Thomas Wild is a specialist on forex trading with a special emphasis in forex software. Click here to check out reviews, unbiased customer feedback and vital information on Forex Autopilot.

Trading Forex - Possible FED Intervention

Federal Reserve Bank's role as a market stabilizing force has been taken to new highs over last few months. In the aftermath of the "housing market bubble" and "credit crunch", popular media and Wall Street executives were pleading, well, demanding, forceful action by the FED. It was suggested that rates should be cut and liquidity "injected" into the financial systems. Surprisingly to some, our Central Bank did all that and more, saving Bear Sterns from certain demise.
Some might see it as FED simply doing its job, promoting psychological stability and diluting market pessimism. Others argue that they are way too responsive to Wall Street wishes, bailing out individuals and companies from their greed induced troubles. Whatever the reason, recent FED's activism in equity and debt markets has been way above normal. Will this spread into currency markets as well?
Over last few weeks following headlines have been seen on front pages of important newspapers: " Oil up on another dollar slump", "Dollar weakness causes yet another oil jump". And many similar ones. Slowly but surely general public makes a connection between the two. Soon enough there will be a prevailing belief that stronger dollar should bring oil prices down. Can FED do anything about it? Over next few weeks we expect to see more and more talk about an all out INTERVENTION. Our fiscal authorities, being so helpful in one crisis, surely should accommodate our wishes in another.
If this actually happens, does FED have enough muscle for a successful intervention? Currency markets being the largest financial markets on earth, surely would require massive amount of money in order to change major trends. Most likely this kind of action would need a coordinated effort by a number of central banks, with a commitment to do it for weeks if necessary. The good news is, just about every major economy on earth would like to see some strength in USD, so other central banks would be likely more than happy to help.
Many market observers claim that interventions are a waste of time and money, and in the long term markets will do what they intended to do in the first place. As an example they often point out Japanese Central Bank prolonged intervention in Yen in 2004. Bank of Japan was publicly unhappy with USD-JPY rate falling under 115.00 level. In spite of continues BOJ actions the market slowly but surely, went to as low 102.00 before rallying for next couple of years. What we don't know, and never will, is how low the rate would have gotten without BOJ stepping in. For what we know, price could have fallen to 90.00 or maybe 80.00. Who knows?
This kind of market actions don't happen often enough to have a statistically valid evidence of outcomes. In 1980's central banks were obligated to maintain exchange rates within certain boundaries. Once prices reached specified levels, intervention could be expected and even guaranteed. That is not the case these days. Central banks will not advertise their actions, they will simply step in.
There is no guarantee that an intervention will happen, but the probabilities of this taking place are growing with every week. It doesn't mean that one should start piling up dollars. Traders ought to stick to their systems and methods, even if they call for shorting USD. They just don't want to leave their positions unprotected. Stop/loss is a MUST , because if the intervention comes, it will mean hundreds of pips within hours. S/L on every trade is a cheap insurance policy.
Mike P. Kulej is a Chief Forex Strategist for Spectrum Forex LLC. He specializes in mechanical trading systems as explained on http://www.spectrumforex.com - Spectrum Forex LLC offers numerous services to individual traders. With questions and comments e-mail him at kulej@spectrumforex.com